Radnički Pirot vs Timok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
3º
2º
24
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnički Pirot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 6
RAD
9%
19%
72%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
2 - 1
DUB
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JED
0 - 1
RAD
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 0
BOR
69%
18%
12%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VLA
0 - 2
RAD
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Timok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DUB
5 - 0
TIM
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TIM
1 - 1
BOR
46%
27%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OBB
2 - 1
TIM
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TIM
1 - 2
FKM
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TIM
3 - 2
TIM
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |