Radford vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
72.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
RAD
0 - 1
STF
8%
15%
78%
|
12 | 62 | 50 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
STF
1 - 1
RAD
76%
16%
8%
|
11 | 61 | 50 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
RAD
0 - 7
HEA
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
3 - 1
RAD
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
RAD
2 - 1
BOS
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SHE
2 - 4
MAL
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SHE
4 - 5
WOR
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 3
SHE
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SHE
0 - 1
NAN
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SHE
6 - 1
LEE
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +4 |