Rad Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
NPA
1 - 0
RAD
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
RAD
1 - 1
MLA
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
SRE
0 - 0
RAD
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
RAD
3 - 0
FKS
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BBD
2 - 1
RAD
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
NAP
4 - 0
MLA
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
FKS
2 - 0
NAP
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
NAP
2 - 2
ZRE
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
NIS
1 - 2
NAP
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
NAP
0 - 0
MLA
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |