Rad Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
16º
15º
59
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 1
VRS
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOZ
2 - 5
RAD
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 1
MAV
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 0
RAD
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 0
MET
34%
27%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 0
LOZ
78%
15%
6%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAV
0 - 0
NOV
13%
22%
65%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
RSM
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
INI
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |