Racing vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
RAC
2 - 3
FCB
50%
21%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ZAR
3 - 0
RAC
45%
20%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
RAC
4 - 2
BET
61%
19%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 1
RAC
53%
20%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
RAC
2 - 1
VCF
59%
18%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SEV
1 - 1
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
HER
0 - 2
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 1
HER
84%
10%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
HER
5 - 1
ZAR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |