Racing San Miguel vs G. Caliche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 8
RAC
12%
17%
72%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
5 - 1
BEN
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
RAC
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
3 - 0
SPO
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
RAC
31%
22%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
G. Caliche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
RAC
4 - 0
GRU
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 1
FOR
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 2
GRU
31%
21%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 1
CAL
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 3
GRU
43%
21%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |