Racing San Miguel vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+357%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CDC
3 - 1
RAC
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
RAC
2 - 4
HON
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
RAC
5 - 2
SPO
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 1
RAC
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 1
ALG
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ALT
6 - 2
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
CFP
6 - 2
CAS
26%
20%
54%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 2
CAL
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UDF
3 - 2
CAS
38%
22%
41%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |