Racing Rioja B vs Peña Balsamaiso CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
62.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
16º
16º
39
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Rioja B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 2
RRF
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RRF
1 - 3
NAX
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
RRF
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RRF
1 - 2
COM
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
OYO
2 - 0
RRF
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
ANG
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AGO
2 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
BAL
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 0
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |