UD Águilas vs Invercosta Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Águilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ESP
4 - 1
UDA
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UDA
1 - 1
MUL
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
UDA
2 - 1
PIN
17%
22%
62%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MIN
1 - 0
UDA
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
UDA
0 - 4
BUL
15%
21%
65%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Invercosta Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
INV
2 - 1
MIN
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BUL
2 - 1
INV
75%
16%
10%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
INV
3 - 0
HUR
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 2
INV
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
INV
1 - 1
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +1 |