RC France vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
11º
10º
20
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
USB
3 - 1
RAC
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 2
DIN
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
RAC
13%
22%
65%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 0
GRA
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
RAC
13%
21%
66%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
AFV
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ASB
0 - 3
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
FBB
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 4
CHA
15%
22%
63%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
USB
4 - 0
GUI
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |