Racing Olavarría vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
58.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 0
RAO
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 2
DFR
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAO
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RAO
4 - 3
DES
27%
29%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GIM
3 - 2
RAO
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
2 - 1
RIV
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
JUU
3 - 0
GBR
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
ALV
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
4 - 2
GBR
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIP
2 - 1
GBR
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |