Racing Olavarría vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2008 |
RAO
2 - 0
BVI
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
DEP
3 - 0
RAO
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
TRE
1 - 2
RAO
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
RAO
0 - 0
ALV
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 2
RAO
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2008 |
ALV
2 - 0
DEP
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BVI
1 - 6
ALV
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ALV
0 - 2
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
RAO
0 - 0
ALV
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ALV
1 - 1
GUT
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |