Racing Jaén vs Mancha Real AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CDH
0 - 1
RAC
15%
20%
65%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 0
LAG
66%
20%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CLO
2 - 2
RAC
27%
23%
51%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 0
RAC
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
RAC
54%
22%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ADM
2 - 2
UDG
30%
24%
46%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
ADM
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ADM
1 - 3
CDB
19%
22%
59%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CFS
3 - 2
ADM
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ADM
2 - 0
CDV
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |