San Gabriel A vs Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.2%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Gabriel A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
JOV
1 - 2
RAC
7%
13%
80%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RAC
5 - 0
INT
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
RAC
68%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
RAC
5 - 2
SFF
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ORA
1 - 0
RAC
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
OBR
0 - 3
IND
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SFF
7 - 0
OBR
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ORA
5 - 2
OBR
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
OBR
3 - 4
XIX
29%
20%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
8 - 0
OBR
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |