R. Paterna vs Bugarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
R. Paterna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RAC
3 - 1
BEN
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ELI
5 - 0
RAC
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 7
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 3
GOD
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RAY
5 - 0
RAC
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 1
BUG
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BUG
3 - 2
PAT
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LLI
1 - 0
BUG
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BUG
2 - 2
RIB
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 2
BUG
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |