Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 0-2
Racing Eduardo Castex vs Costa Brava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Eduardo Castex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CGB
2 - 3
REC
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
REC
1 - 1
BSR
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 1
REC
10%
16%
74%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
REC
1 - 1
CGB
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BSR
3 - 2
REC
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
COB
5 - 1
DEW
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
COB
2 - 0
UNC
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AIA
0 - 3
COB
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
DEW
0 - 5
COB
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UNC
0 - 0
COB
10%
17%
73%
|
26 | 6 | 20 | 0 |