Racing Eduardo Castex vs Alvear analysis


29	ELO	26
-6.9%	Tilt	-1.1%
42762º	General ELO ranking	47850º
513º	Country ELO ranking	757º
ELO win probability

56.6%

Racing Eduardo Castex

20.5%

Draw

22.8%

Alvear

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

56.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%

20.5%

Draw

0-0

3.1%

1-1

8.8%

2-2

6.2%

3-3

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

20.5%

22.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Racing Eduardo Castex

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 Dec. 2021	REC 0 - 0 COB 57% 21% 23%	29	26	3	0
27 Nov. 2021	REC 2 - 2 BSR 44% 23% 33%	29	31	2	0
21 Nov. 2021	AIA 0 - 1 REC 40% 22% 38%	28	25	3	+1
15 Mar. 2020	REC 0 - 0 COB 53% 21% 26%	28	27	1	0
08 Mar. 2020	REC 1 - 1 ATM 47% 21% 31%	29	29	0	-1

Matches

Alvear

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
02 Dec. 2021	BSR 2 - 2 AIA 57% 21% 22%	25	31	6
27 Nov. 2021	COB 1 - 1 AIA 55% 20% 25%	25	26	1
21 Nov. 2021	AIA 0 - 1 REC 40% 22% 38%	25	28	3