Racing Club Aruba vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
5º
1º
11
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 6
RCA
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RCA
2 - 1
BRI
58%
19%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
0 - 9
RCA
10%
14%
76%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RCA
4 - 0
RIV
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DAK
1 - 2
RCA
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 6
DAK
30%
22%
49%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
FAM
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
1 - 0
NAC
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
FAM
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
56%
20%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |