Racing Castrelos vs Gondomar Base analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
DES
1 - 0
CAS
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATL
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 1
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
GUI
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 2
CAS
59%
21%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gondomar Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GON
2 - 4
CHO
23%
22%
55%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
5 - 3
GON
53%
22%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GON
1 - 3
LAV
30%
23%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ARE
3 - 2
GON
48%
23%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GON
4 - 5
VIN
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |