Racing Castrelos vs Choco B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GDM
0 - 1
CAS
26%
22%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
CRI
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RAP
1 - 1
CAS
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
ARE
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
TEI
1 - 0
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Choco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 2
CHA
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TEI
0 - 4
CHO
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 0
NIE
45%
22%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
CHO
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHO
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |