Racing Castrelos vs Chapela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TEI
1 - 6
CAS
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
NIE
19%
19%
63%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
GON
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
5 - 0
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chapela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 3
VIL
25%
21%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
TEI
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NIE
4 - 2
CHA
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 4
CHA
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GON
0 - 3
CHA
32%
22%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |