Racing Balcarce vs Ayacucho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
54.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Balcarce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARG
3 - 0
BAL
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
AME
18%
21%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 2
BAL
88%
10%
3%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
KIM
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FRR
1 - 0
SAR
18%
21%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
GER
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GER
2 - 0
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |