UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 1-2
Rabotnički vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rabotnički
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
HTR
1 - 0
RAB
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RAB
2 - 0
GOR
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
RAB
2 - 0
MET
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RAB
3 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 2
RAB
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
KUO
2 - 2
HJK
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
HJK
0 - 0
FCL
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
IFK
0 - 2
HJK
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
HJK
5 - 0
TPS
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
HON
1 - 1
HJK
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |