R-BAC vs Assumption analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
R-BAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
THA
1 - 0
RBA
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
RBA
5 - 1
RJW
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
KBE
0 - 2
RBA
45%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
RBA
4 - 2
RAY
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
BCC
1 - 0
RBA
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Assumption
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 2
CHA
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SPU
2 - 2
ASS
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 0
RAJ
81%
13%
7%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
CUS
3 - 0
ASS
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 2
NBC
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |