Quorn vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
QUO
2 - 0
KID
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 3
QUO
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 0
QUO
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
QUO
3 - 2
ALS
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SHE
0 - 0
QUO
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CAM
3 - 1
SHE
79%
14%
8%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 3
CAM
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 3
QUO
45%
25%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
WAR
1 - 2
SHE
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 0
GRA
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |