Quorn vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
QUO
0 - 0
HUC
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LEE
4 - 2
QUO
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
QUO
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
QUO
1 - 2
BEL
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 0
QUO
69%
18%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
STA
4 - 1
ROM
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ROM
4 - 1
COA
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 0
ROM
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ILK
4 - 1
ROM
64%
20%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 0
LEA
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |