Quorn vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 4
QUO
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
QUO
1 - 4
RUS
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
QUO
1 - 3
STO
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
QUO
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
RET
0 - 0
QUO
75%
16%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 3
KID
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAR
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 2
GRE
77%
16%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 1
SHE
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 4
RET
13%
20%
66%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -2 |