Quorn vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
KID
2 - 2
QUO
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
QUO
6 - 2
GOO
28%
24%
49%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
QUO
1 - 2
CAM
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SPA
3 - 3
QUO
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
QUO
2 - 6
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 0
COL
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 0
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
3 - 1
STO
25%
25%
50%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +4 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 1
RET
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
GRE
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |