Quorn vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KID
2 - 0
QUO
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
QUO
1 - 3
LIN
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
QUO
0 - 1
LEE
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
QUO
0 - 0
MAR
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HUC
0 - 1
QUO
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GOO
1 - 1
STA
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
GOO
4 - 2
NEW
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SHE
4 - 0
GOO
59%
20%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 0
GOO
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 4
GOO
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |