Quixadá vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
QUI
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 0
QUI
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 3
FOR
19%
23%
59%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 3
ITA
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
QUI
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 1
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 2
TIR
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 0
HOR
39%
24%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
3 - 0
GUA
67%
19%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |