Quixadá vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 2
HOR
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 4
QUI
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
FER
4 - 0
QUI
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 3
ITA
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 3
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOV
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
HOR
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |