Quixadá vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
4 - 3
IGU
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 1
NOV
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 2
QUI
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
QUI
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
MAR
52%
21%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 1
CRA
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 2
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
3 - 2
CRA
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 1
CRA
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |