Quixadá vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
66.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
QUI
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
QUI
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
4 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 1
QUI
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 2
GUA
54%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
CEA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 0
ICA
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
RIV
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
20%
23%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |