Quixadá vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
ITA
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
QUI
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
GUA
30%
24%
47%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
CRA
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 0
QUI
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
CEA
16%
21%
64%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEA
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 2
HOR
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 4
CEA
13%
19%
67%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 0
HOR
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |