Quixadá vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
55.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2007 |
FOR
4 - 1
QUI
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
QUI
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 4
ITA
38%
23%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 3
FER
50%
23%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 1
QUI
49%
23%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
ICA
3 - 0
CEA
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CEA
1 - 2
UNI
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2007 |
CEA
5 - 1
GUA
79%
14%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
CEA
2 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ITU
4 - 1
CEA
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |