Quissamã vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quissamã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 1
QUI
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 3
FLU
9%
20%
72%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 1
BOA
25%
22%
53%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
QUI
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
RES
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 1
MAD
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 0
DUQ
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
OLA
51%
23%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 0
DUQ
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FRI
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |