Quissamã vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quissamã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 2
SEC
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
AME
3 - 0
QUI
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 2
AFC
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
REC
2 - 1
QUI
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
3 - 1
NOV
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
BON
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
BON
0 - 0
REC
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GOY
1 - 0
BON
70%
18%
11%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
BON
0 - 1
OLA
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SEC
3 - 1
BON
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |