Quirigua vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 0
QUI
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
QUI
3 - 3
CON
21%
24%
56%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
QUI
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 3
UNI
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MIX
0 - 1
SAC
32%
28%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
MIX
59%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
4 - 1
MIX
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MIX
0 - 1
AUR
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
MIX
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |