Quirigua vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
QUI
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
QUI
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 1
DEP
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
QUI
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 2
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
COM
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 3
CON
26%
27%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
CON
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
MIX
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |