Quirigua vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
QUI
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
4 - 1
SAY
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 0
QUI
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
MIX
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
QUI
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
SAY
24%
25%
52%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MIX
3 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
SAC
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DSA
1 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
COM
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |