Quirigua vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MIX
4 - 1
QUI
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
5 - 3
ACH
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAY
4 - 3
QUI
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 2
MIX
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
HER
16%
24%
60%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SPD
2 - 0
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
SPD
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
ANT
42%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ZAC
3 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |