Quirigua vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ZAC
2 - 1
QUI
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ANT
5 - 1
QUI
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -3 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 1
ANT
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
3 - 1
COB
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ZAC
0 - 0
QUI
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACH
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAY
32%
26%
43%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 2
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
SAC
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
COB
2 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |