Quinto vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
QUI
36%
26%
38%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 3
CDC
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
QUI
16%
22%
62%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 0
CEL
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BUJ
0 - 3
QUI
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 0
AND
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ACF
1 - 0
UDM
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UDM
2 - 0
ATC
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CDU
2 - 2
UDM
45%
25%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 1
VAL
28%
24%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |