Quintero Unido vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
14º
11º
22
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quintero Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 2
CDS
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BDS
5 - 1
QUI
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MEJ
2 - 1
QUI
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 2
SCF
88%
8%
3%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ACC
3 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
MEJ
1 - 2
OVA
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
OVA
0 - 4
SCF
90%
7%
3%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ACC
1 - 0
OVA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OVA
0 - 4
DUC
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
OVA
2 - 0
BDS
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |