CD Quintanar del Rey vs Atlético Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
8º
3º
26
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Quintanar del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
QRE
3 - 0
TAR
61%
21%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ILL
3 - 1
QRE
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
QRE
0 - 0
CDC
54%
26%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
QRE
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
QRE
3 - 1
CDT
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TAR
1 - 1
ATT
74%
17%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ATT
3 - 2
CSP
11%
19%
70%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ILL
1 - 0
ATT
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ATT
2 - 2
VIL
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
ATT
78%
16%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |