CD Quintana vs Sporting Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MON
2 - 3
QUI
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 3
ZUR
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ELA
0 - 1
QUI
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
12 - 1
VAL
81%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PUL
2 - 1
SMA
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 3
FMO
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
8 - 1
SMA
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |