CD Quintana vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
QUI
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
5 - 0
SPH
82%
11%
6%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UDF
4 - 2
QUI
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 1
CDT
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 1
QUI
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
HER
4 - 0
UCL
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
VIL
58%
23%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SPH
0 - 0
HER
11%
20%
69%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
HER
4 - 2
UDF
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 1
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |