Quimper Cornouaille vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.2%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
20.8%
74%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
23.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
29.5%
0-2
20.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.2%
-2
23.6%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
LIL
1 - 0
LHA
62%
23%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 2
LIL
30%
31%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
IST
1 - 2
LIL
26%
30%
44%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
LIL
2 - 2
AUX
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
REN
5 - 1
LIL
48%
27%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |