Quilmes vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 3
QUI
33%
30%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
PAT
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 0
QUI
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
ATT
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 0
QUI
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
DES
3 - 0
IRV
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
4 - 0
DES
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
DES
0 - 3
BUC
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GBR
0 - 1
DES
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DES
2 - 2
GIM
26%
30%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |