Quilmes II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
ALD
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
GOC
34%
25%
42%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
5 - 1
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
LAN
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
1 - 0
QUI
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
GOC
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 0
SAR
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
LAN
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
3 - 0
SAR
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
OLI
29%
23%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +2 |